Syria’s armed opposition forces topple Bashar al-Assad’s regime

Syrian armed opposition forces announced on state television on Sunday that they have ousted President Bashar al-Assad, eliminating a 50-year family dynasty in a lightning offensive that raises the specter of a new wave of instability in a Middle East gripped by war.

Syria’s army command notified officers on Sunday that al-Assad’s regime had ended, a Syrian officer who was informed of the move told Reuters.

But the Syrian army later said it was continuing operations against “terrorist groups” in the key cities of Hama and Homs and in Deraa countryside.

Al-Assad, who had crushed all forms of dissent, flew out of Damascus for an unknown destination earlier on Sunday, two senior army officers told Reuters, as the armed opposition forces said they had entered the capital with no sign of army deployments.

 Syrians gather around the Clock Tower during celebrations in the heart of Homs early on December 8, 2024. (AFP)
Syrians gather around the Clock Tower during celebrations in the heart of Homs early on December 8, 2024.

“We celebrate with the Syrian people the news of freeing our prisoners and releasing their chains and announcing the end of the era of injustice in Sednaya prison,” the armed opposition forces said, referring to a large military prison on the outskirts of Damascus where the Syrian government detained thousands.

Thousands in cars and on foot congregated at a main square in Damascus waving and chanting “Freedom” from a half century of al-Assad family rule, witnesses said.

The dramatic collapse also marks a seismic moment for the Middle East, dealing a massive blow to Russia and Iran, which have lost a key ally at the heart of the region and creating more uncertainty as the Gaza war rages.

It marks a turning point for Syria, shattered by more than 13 years of war which has turned cities to rubble, killed hundreds of thousands of people, and forced millions abroad as refugees.

Stabilizing western areas of Syria captured in the armed groups’ advance will be key. Western governments, which have shunned the al-Assad-led state for years, must decide how to deal with a new administration in which a globally designated terrorist group – “Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)” – looks set to have influence.

HTS, which spearheaded the armed opposition groups’ advancement across western Syria, was formerly an al-Qaeda affiliate known as the Nusra Front until its leader Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, severed ties with the global extremist movement in 2016.

“The real question is how orderly will this transition be, and it seems quite clear that al-Jolani is very eager for it to be an orderly one,” said Joshua Landis, a Syria expert and Director of the Center for Middle East Studies at the University of Oklahoma.

Al-Jolani will not want a repeat of the chaos that swept Iraq after US-led forces toppled Saddam Hussein in 2003. “They are going to have to rebuild … they will need Europe and the US to lift sanctions,” Landis said.

HTS is Syria’s strongest group and some Syrians remain fearful it will impose draconian extremist rule or instigate reprisals.

A Syrian Air plane took off from Damascus airport around the time the capital was reported to have been taken by the armed opposition groups, according to data from the Flightradar website.

The aircraft initially flew towards Syria’s coastal region, but then made an abrupt U-turn and flew in the opposite direction for a few minutes before disappearing off the map.

Reuters could not immediately ascertain who was on board.

Two Syrian sources said there was a very high probability that al-Assad may have been killed in a plane crash as it was a mystery why the plane took a surprise U turn and disappeared off the map according to data from the Flightradar website.

“It disappeared off the radar, possibly the transponder was switched off, but I believe the bigger probability is that the aircraft was taken down…,” said one Syrian source without elaborating.

As Syrians expressed joy, Prime Minister Mohammad Ghazi al-Jalali said the country should have free elections so Syrians can choose who they want.

But that would require a smooth transition in a country with complex competing interests.

Al-Jalali also said he had been in contact with al-Jolani to discuss managing the current transitional period, marking a notable development in efforts to shape Syria’s political future.

Jordan affirmed on Sunday the importance of preserving the stability and security of Syria, the state news agency reported.

US President Joe Biden and his team were monitoring the “extraordinary events in Syria” and were in touch with regional partners, the White House said.

Syria’s civil war, which erupted in 2011 as an uprising against al-Assad’s rule, dragged in big outside powers, created space for militants to plot attacks around the world and sent millions of refugees into neighboring states.

The frontlines of Syria’s complex civil war were dormant for years. Then armed opposition forces suddenly burst into action, posing the biggest challenge to al-Assad, who had survived years of grueling war and international isolation with the help of Russia, Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah.

But al-Assad’s allies were focused on and weakened by other crises, leaving al-Assad at the mercy of his opponents with an army that was not prepared to defend him.

Thousands of Homs residents poured onto the streets after the army withdrew from the central city, dancing and chanting “al-Assad is gone, Homs is free” and “Long live Syria and down with Bashar al-Assad.”

The armed opposition forces fired into the air in celebration, and youths tore down posters of the Syrian president, whose territorial control has collapsed in a dizzying week-long retreat by the military.

The fall of Homs gave the insurgents control over Syria’s strategic heartland and a key highway crossroads, severing Damascus from the coastal region that is the stronghold of al-Assad’s Alawite sect and where his Russian allies have a naval base and air base.

Homs’ capture is also a powerful symbol of the armed opposition groups’ movement’s dramatic comeback. Swathes of Homs were destroyed by grueling siege warfare between the armed opposition forces and the army years ago. The fighting ground down the insurgents, who were forced out.

The armed opposition forces freed thousands of detainees from the city prison. Security forces left in haste after burning their documents.

The head of Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces Mazloum Abdi said on Sunday on X: “We are witnessing historic moments in Syria as the authoritarian regime in Damascus falls. This change presents an opportunity to build a new Syria founded on democracy and justice, ensuring the rights of all Syrians.”

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