The publication of the plan was embarrassing to a US administration that has repeatedly advised Israel to adhere to international law.
The US presidential election
There are other, more compelling reasons to view the Blinken-Austin letter cynically. The US elections are around the corner, and President Joe Biden’s administration is desperate for Vice President Kamala Harris to win against her Republican rival, former President Donald Trump. With polls showing the two candidates neck and neck, the several million votes from Arab and Muslim Americans, pro-Palestinian university students and others who want an end to Israel’s international law violations, especially in swing states, are more valuable to the current administration than ever before.
Read in this light, the letter appears to be a last-ditch attempt to salvage the election. Harris may now be lamenting her public censuring of pro-Palestinian Americans as well as the decision to not allow a Palestinian speaker to take the main stage at the Democratic National Convention in August. In recent days, the Democratic presidential candidate has been working hard to court Arab and Muslim American voters. The Blinken/Austin letter, which the administration must have known would be leaked to the public, is a further attempt to win over voters.
A shield against genocide allegations
Blinken and Austin’s letter can also be read as an attempt by the Biden administration to cover its own back and try to shield itself against allegations of complicity in genocide. Sure, the administration continues to fund Israel’s genocide and provide it with diplomatic cover, but now, if it ever has to excuse its behaviour, it can point to this letter and say it had at least given Israel a serious admonition.
Of course, the letter could eventually prove to be a strategic mistake since, like Biden’s many previous reprimands to Israel, it reads more like an acknowledgment of ongoing Israeli war crimes than a genuine warning.
For example, in their letter to Gallant and Dermer, Blinken and Austin command Israel to rescind “evacuation orders when there is no operational need”. This appears to be an acknowledgement that Israel has been forcibly displacing Palestinians, which is a grave war crime. Since the start of the war, rights groups have documented numerous instances of forced displacement.
If the US knows Israel is committing crimes, then it cannot justify its continued support for and involvement in Israel’s war, which begs the question: How much does it know about Israel’s apparent policy to starve the population of Gaza?
It’s unthinkable that the US has known less about Israel’s starvation policies than scholars, aid groups, international organisations and other experts who have been writing about them for more than a year. Additionally, Israeli leaders themselves have admitted to and proudly advertised such policies many times over.
For example, on October 8, 2023, just one day into the war, Gallant publicly admitted that he ordered a “complete siege” of the Gaza Strip. “There will be no electricity, no food, no fuel. Everything is closed,” he said. “We are fighting human animals, and we are acting accordingly.” Several weeks later, in November, Eiland, the aforementioned author of the “General’s Plan”, argued that Israel’s war should be fought against “the entire Gaza population,” and that Israel’s army should seek to create a “humanitarian disaster,” including hunger and “severe epidemics.” Doing so, he argued, would “bring victory closer”. Eiland also stressed that the Israeli army should seek not only the “killing of more Hamas fighters” but also to cause “irreversible harm to their families” as well as “hospital directors and school directors”.
