Voters head to polls in last test for UK’s Sunak before national election

English voters headed to polling stations on Thursday to pick mayors, councilors and a new lawmaker in the last electoral test for British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak before a national vote later this year.

Expectations among the governing Conservatives are low, but Sunak hopes his party will retain at least one mayoralty to help stem calls for him to quit before the parliamentary election, which he says will likely take place in the second half of 2024.

While governing parties often struggle in local polls, the expected Conservative losses in councils and a parliamentary by-election in the northern English town of Blackpool will boost opposition Labour’s hopes for a sweeping victory at the national election.

“We are expecting to see significant losses,” finance minister Jeremy Hunt told Sky News on Wednesday. “If you want better public services … and lower taxes, then you should vote Conservative tomorrow.”

Labour leader Keir Starmer said his party needed to make gains in Thursday’s elections, which cover more than 2,600 council seats and 11 mayors across England as well as 37 police and crime commissioners in England and Wales.

“We have to show that people have the confidence and the trust to vote for this changed Labour Party,” he said.

The local polls will offer the last glimpse of voting patterns before the UK national election, which opinion polls say the Conservatives are set to lose. A YouGov/Times voting intention poll put the Conservatives on just 18 percent – their lowest level since 2019 – against Labour’s 44 percent.

‘Campaigning for every vote’

Labour looks set to overturn the Conservative majority in the parliamentary constituency of Blackpool South, but party officials do not expect to oust the high-profile Conservative mayor, Ben Houchen, in Tees Valley in northeast England. Another mayoral contest in the West Midlands, where Conservative Andy Street has been in power since 2017, looks tight.

Sunak’s team hopes that keeping Tees Valley and possibly the West Midlands too will stifle calls from some in his restive party for his resignation. They fear electoral annihilation under Sunak’s leadership at the national election.

“We are rightly out campaigning for every vote,” Sunak’s press secretary told reporters on Wednesday, listing what she called his recent successes such as promising to raise defense spending and passing a new law to send illegal asylum seekers to Rwanda.

She said Sunak had campaigned with both mayors when asked about Houchen and Street’s attempts to distance themselves from the Conservatives, instead promoting their personal brand.

“Even the mayors that he’s pinning his political survival on don’t want to be seen anywhere near him,” Starmer told parliament on Wednesday.