Hamburg votes amid German political unrest

Polls have opened in Germany’s city-state of Hamburg as voters pick a new regional assembly in an election that has been dominated by the issue of climate change.

Hamburg has been governed by a coalition of the centre-left Social Democrats and the environmentalist Green party for the last five years. They are the two leading parties, according to polls.

Federal politics in Germany has appeared particularly chaotic in recent weeks, with a regional vote in the former communist east indirectly bringing down Chancellor Angela Merkel’s chosen successor.

Over the longer term, the progressive, ecologist Greens look set to replace the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SPD) as the main national rival to Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) conservatives, with support for them surging last year and now almost twice as high as for the SPD.

But things are not so gloomy for the centre left in Hamburg, where despite the Greens’ gains, the SPD looks set to maintain its grip on the mayor’s seat.

In opinion polls in this wealthy “Free Hanseatic City” last week, support for the SPD was well above 30 percent, a lead of more than 10 points over the Greens and three times higher than the CDU.

“We have to hold our ground against the federal trend,” SPD lead candidate and incumbent Hamburg Mayor Peter Tschentscher, 54, told AFP news agency.

In part, the centre left has done so by adopting policies with a distinctly “green” feel, including a proposal to convert a huge coal power plant to natural gas to slash greenhouse emissions.

Meanwhile, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) – which enjoys strong support in the east of the country – is struggling to gain ground in prosperous Hamburg where it could even fall short of the 5 percent hurdle to enter parliament.

At just below 3,000 euros ($3,258) per month, incomes in the port city are somewhat higher than the national average.

Havoc in Berlin
On Friday, the Greens’ national leader, Robert Habeck, said the prospect for the ecologists doubling their score in Hamburg from the last vote in 2015 was “phenomenal”, even if they fail to unseat the SPD’s Tschentscher.

Should the opinion polls prove correct, the port city will likely retain the “red-green” coalition that has ruled since 2011, sparing Berlin the political earthquakes provoked by other recent regional votes.

Earlier this month, Merkel’s conservatives were shaken by the apparent alliance of their regional branch in the eastern state Thuringia with the AfD party, voting in a liberal politician as state premier.

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